A Forecast for Less Violence in 2025

John Roman, PhD

Jan 8

5

1

The crime decline is slowing and we will need to find new mechanisms for a further decline

Read →

1 Comment

wgs

Jan 8

My ARIMA model for Chicago says 2025 = 2024 with the murder total staying under 600. Around here that would counted as a victory.

Expand full comment

Reply

Share

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts

External Processing

A Forecast for Less Violence in 2025